Contents
Time Value of Money
Annuities
Perpetuities
Kinds of Interest Rates
Future Value of an Uneven Cash flow
Probability Distribution
Standard Deviation
CAPM
Security Market Line
Bond Valuation
Stock Valuation
Cost of Capital
The Balance Sheet
Financial Terms
Scientific Terms
Disclaimer




Stock Valuation -Valuation see our disclaimer

Preferred Stock Preferred stock is somewhat like a bond. They pay the same equal dividends forever.
Common Stock Common stock represents ownership in the company. Sometimes there are dividends, sometimes not.

What is the value of Preferred Stock?

This is easy. Preferred stock is basically a perpetuity.

What is the value of Common Stock?

This is not easy. This is a mess. Think about it. What is the value of a share of stock in a specific company? In one sense it is the price the stock trades at. Both the buyer and seller agree to exchange the stock at that price.


We assume that they are both rational people and both know something about the company and its future plans and profit potential. So, yes, that is one method: check the price of the stock in the paper or on the internet. But that's pretty darn easy. It's not really finance. It's more like reading. And I don't know if you realize this or not, but they don't give Nobel Prizes for reading. So there are other ways of doing stock valuation too.


The Gordon Growth Formula, also known as The Constant Growth Formula assumes that a company grows at a constant rate forever. This, by the way, is impossible. I mean, it can't grow forever. You know, if a company doubles in size every 5 years, pretty soon every single person in the world is their customer and then they can't grow at that rate anymore. (because the world population isn't doubling ever 5 years).

BUT, if we go ahead and assume that a company has a constant growth rate, we can use the following formula to get its value.

Constant Growth Formula Po = D 1 / ( Ks - G )
  • Po = Price
  • D1 = The next dividend. D1 = D0 (1 + G)
  • Ks = Rate of Return
  • G = Growth Rate

What is all this D1 and D0 stuff ?

  • D1 is the next dividend
  • D0 is the last dividend

Well we are assuming that the company has constant growth, right. So we take the last divided, multiply it by the growth rate and we can get the next dividend.

Example

  • Last years dividend = $ 1.00
  • Growth Rate = 5%
  • Rate of Return = 10%

First figure out D1.

  • D1 = D0 (1 + G)
  • D1 = $1.00 ( 1 + .05)
  • D1 = $1.00 (1.05)
  • D1 = $1.05

Next us the formula.

  • Po = D 1 / ( Ks - G )
  • Po = $1.05 / (10% - 5%)
  • Po = $1.05 / 5%
  • Po = $21.00

So, if we want to get a 10% rate of return on our money, and we assume that the company will grow forever at 5% per year, then we would be willing to pay $21.00 for this stock. That is the theory anyways. And again, here is our disclaimer.

Detailed Explanation

Stocks are a type of security that represents ownership in a company. When a company issues stocks, it is essentially selling ownership in the company to investors in exchange for capital. Stocks can be classified into two broad categories: common stock and preferred stock. In this chapter, we will discuss the characteristics, advantages, and disadvantages of both common and preferred stock.

Common stock is the most basic form of ownership in a company. When investors purchase common stock, they become partial owners of the company, with a proportional claim on the company's earnings and assets. Common stockholders have the right to vote on matters such as electing the board of directors, major corporate decisions, and changes to the company's charter or bylaws. One of the advantages of common stock is the potential for capital appreciation. When a company's earnings and prospects improve, the value of its common stock typically rises. This increase in value can lead to capital gains for investors, which can be realized when they sell their shares. Common stockholders also have the potential to receive dividends, which are payments made by the company to its shareholders out of its earnings. However, common stockholders also face a number of risks and disadvantages. One of the main risks is the volatility of stock prices. Common stock prices can fluctuate widely based on a variety of factors, including changes in the economy, industry trends, and company-specific events such as earnings reports or management changes. Common stockholders also have a lower claim on the company's earnings and assets compared to bondholders and preferred stockholders. In the event of bankruptcy or liquidation, common stockholders are the last to receive any proceeds.

Preferred stock is a type of stock that has characteristics of both stocks and bonds. Like common stock, preferred stock represents ownership in a company. However, unlike common stock, preferred stockholders do not have voting rights. Instead, preferred stockholders have a fixed dividend rate, which means that they are entitled to receive a certain amount of dividends before any dividends are paid to common stockholders. One of the advantages of preferred stock is the fixed dividend rate. Preferred stockholders are entitled to receive a fixed dividend, which is typically higher than the dividend paid to common stockholders. This fixed income stream can be attractive to investors who are looking for a stable source of income. In addition, preferred stockholders have a higher claim on the company's earnings and assets compared to common stockholders. In the event of bankruptcy or liquidation, preferred stockholders are paid before common stockholders. However, there are also disadvantages to owning preferred stock. One of the main disadvantages is the lack of voting rights. Preferred stockholders do not have the right to vote on matters such as electing the board of directors or major corporate decisions. In addition, the fixed dividend rate means that preferred stockholders do not participate in any potential capital gains that may arise from an increase in the company's earnings or prospects.

Convertible preferred stock is a type of preferred stock that can be converted into common stock at a predetermined conversion ratio. This means that if the stock price of the common stock rises above the conversion price, preferred stockholders can convert their shares into common stock and participate in any potential capital gains. One of the advantages of convertible preferred stock is the potential for capital appreciation. If the company's earnings and prospects improve and the stock price of the common stock rises, convertible preferred stockholders can convert their shares into common stock and participate in any potential capital gains. Convertible preferred stockholders also have a higher claim on the company's earnings and assets compared to common stockholders. However, convertible preferred stock also has some disadvantages. One of the main disadvantages is the potential dilution of common stock. When convertible preferred stock is converted into common stock, the number of outstanding shares

Valuation

When investors evaluate stocks for potential investment, they often use a variety of methods to assess the value of a company's stock. Among the most common methods are the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, the price-to-book (P/B) ratio, discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis, and dividend discount model (DDM). Each of these methods provides a different perspective on a company's value and can help investors make informed investment decisions.

The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is a widely used valuation method that compares a company's stock price to its earnings per share (EPS). The formula for calculating the P/E ratio is:

P/E ratio = Stock price / Earnings per share

The P/E ratio reflects how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings. For example, if a company has a P/E ratio of 20, investors are willing to pay $20 for each $1 of earnings. A high P/E ratio suggests that investors are optimistic about the company's future growth prospects, while a low P/E ratio suggests that investors are less optimistic. The P/E ratio can also be used to compare the valuations of different companies within the same industry. For example, if two companies have similar business models and growth prospects, but one has a higher P/E ratio than the other, this could suggest that investors view the first company as having stronger growth potential.

The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is a financial metric that compares the market value of a company's equity to its book value. It is calculated by dividing the current market price per share of a company's stock by its book value per share. The book value is determined by subtracting a company's total liabilities from its total assets, and then dividing that number by the number of outstanding shares of stock. The P/B ratio is often used by investors to evaluate whether a company's stock is overvalued or undervalued. A low P/B ratio may indicate that a stock is undervalued and may be a good investment opportunity, while a high P/B ratio may indicate that a stock is overvalued and may be overpriced. However, it is important to note that the P/B ratio should not be used in isolation and should be considered in conjunction with other financial metrics and analysis.

Discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis is a valuation method that estimates the intrinsic value of an investment by discounting the expected future cash flows it will generate to their present value. DCF analysis takes into account the time value of money, which recognizes that a dollar received in the future is worth less than a dollar received today, due to inflation and the opportunity cost of waiting for the money. To perform a DCF analysis, an investor first forecasts the future cash flows that an investment is expected to generate over a certain period of time, usually five to ten years. These cash flows are then discounted to their present value using a discount rate that reflects the risk and expected return of the investment. The sum of the present values of the cash flows represents the estimated intrinsic value of the investment. DCF analysis is commonly used to value stocks, bonds, and other financial instruments, as well as real estate and other physical assets. It is a powerful tool for investors, as it allows them to estimate the true value of an investment and compare it to its current market price. However, DCF analysis is not foolproof and requires a number of assumptions and estimates, which can be subject to error.

The dividend discount model (DDM) is a valuation method that estimates the intrinsic value of a stock by discounting the expected future dividends it will pay to their present value. The DDM assumes that the true value of a stock is equal to the present value of the future cash flows it will generate in the form of dividends. To perform a DDM analysis, an investor first forecasts the future dividends that a company is expected to pay over a certain period of time, usually five to ten years. These dividends are then discounted to their present value using a discount rate that reflects the risk and expected return of the stock. The sum of the present values of the dividends represents the estimated intrinsic value of the stock. The DDM is commonly used by investors to value stocks that pay regular dividends, such as utility companies and other mature companies that generate stable cash flows. It is a relatively simple and straightforward valuation method, as it only requires the forecasting of future dividends and the application of a discount rate. However, the DDM is based on a number of assumptions and estimates, and does not take into account the potential for capital gains or losses.



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About the author

Mark McCracken

Author: Mark McCracken is a corporate trainer and author living in Higashi Osaka, Japan. He is the author of thousands of online articles as well as the Business English textbook, "25 Business Skills in English".

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